Sunday morning (re)read at a sunny cafe: Innovators Dilemma

Archive for January, 2009

I’ve returned to Twitter last week, after taking 20 days off, and I’m getting a lot of questions from people asking about the “outside world”. There’s a condition known by prisoners that get comfortable with conditions that return even after they are released, I’m sure they go back to tell the other inmates of “life on the outside”. It’s true my friends, there’s a very large world out there that the digital obsessed forget about.

During my time away, I focused more on blogging, a blog redesign project I’m working on, am working on a communtiy project to help people understand how to get jobs, spent time trying other tools like Friendfeed, spent time on Facebook and shared with my friends and family, and spent more time unplugged during the Holidays. When I watched what was happening on twitter from afar, I realized more than ever how much of the data that was created was pure noise, so instead, I created a Friendfeed room where I segmented out the voices of just a few people over the thousands.

I won’t be tweeting as aggressively as before, in fact according to follow cost, my daily average was 30 tweets, which has now been significantly reduced. I encourage you to back off from the social tools (life goes on) and information got to me anyways, that I realized that we’re not as dependent on these tools as you may think. I can’t step away from Twitter forever, as my clients are there, and this is a tool that I cover as an analyst, but I encourage you to try stepping away, refresh your mind, and come back more focused, I sure did.

If you’re seeking stats from 2008, I’ve compiled them on this similar post of 2008 social networking stats. Update, now see the 2010 stats.

Stats are important –but on their own, they don’t tell us much
Stats on social networks are important, but I’m going to need your help in creating a community archive, can you submit stats as you find them? I’m often asked, “What are the usage numbers for X social network” and I’ve received considerable traffic on my very old post (way back in Jan 08) of MySpace and Facebook stats, even months later. Decision makers, press, media, and users are hungry for numbers, so I’ll start to aggregate them as I see them.

How I interpret stats
Numbers don’t tell us much without insight and interpretation, in fact, you’re going to see conflicting numbers of usage from many of the agencies and social networks themselves. The key is to look at trend movements, don’t focus on the specific numbers but the changes to them over time. I put more weight on active unique users in the last 30 days vs overall registered, in fact, the actual active conversion rate will often range from 10-40% of actual users sticking around and using the social network, so don’t be fooled by puffed numbers. No single metric is a good indicator, you have to evaluate the usage from multiple dimensions, so you also have to factor in what are users doing, time on site, interaction, and of course, did they end up buying, recommending products, or improving their lives.


A Collection of Social Network Stats for 2009
I’ll be updating this post throughout the year, bookmark it, and share it with others

Geography

All Social Networks

  • Techcrunch has listed out comscore’s numbers across multiple social networks, Sources: Techcrunch via Comscore, Jan 1, 2009
  • Compete has released stats in Feb, comments by Cnet. Unique Visitors, Total Visitors and rank information. Cnet, Feb 10, 2009
  • Nielsen Online shows that: Social networks and blogs are now the 4th most popular online activity ahead of personal email, Member communities are visited by 67% of the global online population, time spent is growing at 3 times the overall internet rate, accounting for almost 10% of all internet time, PDF, Nielsen Online, March
  • Nielsen reports that Social Networks 68% more popular than email 65% (but not by much), Nielsen, Cnet, March 2009
  • Techcrunch has an interesting application that shows which social networks dominate by country, June 2009
  • eMarketer has compiled stats from themselves and others on the different age groups of Twitter, MySpace, Facebook, and LinkedIn, July 2009
  • Ignite has data on a variety of social networks that includes traffic and demographic data. July 2009
  • Gender: Royal Pingdom compares social networks based by gender, in almost all cases, women dominate social networking sites over men. Nov 30, 2009
  • Demand Media (Cracked, eHow)
    This LA based media company owns Pluck (community platform) and several social media sites, which I’ve dubbed curated social content.
    eHow

    • eHow
      • 39 million people visit eHow each month to accomplish their projects
      • How to Boil an Egg is consistently one of the most popular articles on eHow
      • eHow has more than 160K professionally produced videos
      • eHow has more than 700K articles
      • eHow has paid more than $1MM to members participating in the Writer’s Compensation Program
    • Cracked.com
      • Now over 2500 writers contributing pitches, ideas, and feedback in our virtual writers room.
      • 18k+ total submissions to our daily caption contest in the month of June
      • Most viewed article of all time on Cracked – “The Top 10 Secret Celebrity Scientologists” – hits 4.6M+ total views
      • Original episodic video series, “S.W.A.I.M”, which offers hilarious commentary on oddities across the web, reaches 4M+ total streams
      • Adding up article and topics page submissions, comments, craption entries, and photoshop entries, over 30k unique content submissions from users/month

    Facebook

  • Facebook has some very limited stats on their own website, view here, Facebook, often updated
  • 150 million people around the world are now actively using Facebook and almost half of them are using Facebook every day. This includes people in every continent—even Antarctica. If Facebook were a country, it would be the eighth most populated in the world, just ahead of Japan, Russia and Nigeria. Facebook is used in more than 35 different languages and 170 countries and territories. Source: Mark Zuckerberg, Jan 7, 2009
  • Facebook has 54.5 million monthly unique visitors, says Comscore, with a growth rate in the U.S. averaged 3.8% per month over the last year. Source, Comscore via Techncrunch, Jan 13, 2009
  • 175mm users, with 600k daily growth of users, with the fastest growing segment “45% of Facebook’s US audience is now 26 years old or older.” Inside Facebook, Feb 15th, 2009.
  • Compare the dominant Facebook vs MySpace traffic, stickablilty, and engagement, Compete, Feb 27, 2009
  • Despite those that have over 100 friends, most only communicate with a smaller subset of friends, and the rest is broadcasting to others. Now there’s not enough data presented to see if if content actually can still spread across those that do not interact. Source originally from Facebook’s sociologist, Feb 2009
  • This graph from Compete data shows Facebook has more users than MySpace, note the ‘crossing of the streams’, Compete, March
  • Inside Facebook says: “the number of Americans over 35, 45, and 55 on Facebook is growing fast. In the last 60 days alone, the number of people over 35 has nearly doubled. Developers and marketers may want to think about how to serve this group of new users.” Inside Facebook, March
  • “Women over 55 remain the fastest growing group, and growth among the teen and college-age set has been relatively paltry. In absolute numbers there are now even slightly more members between the ages of 45 and 65 than there are 13-to 17-year-olds.” Wired Magazine, March.
  • Facebook Ranks as Top Social Networking Site in the Majority of European Countries. Facebook Captures #1 Ranking in Spain for the First Time in February, comScore, April
  • Facebook dominates US visitors over MySpace: “Facebook pulled in 70.278 million unique visitors in the states, compared to MySpace’s 70.237 million, according to data released by ComScore. That made Facebook the most popular site in the U.S., in terms of visitors. Just a month earlier, Facebook had a little over 67 million U.S. visitors behind MySpace’s 70.9 million.” PC Mag,, June 16
  • Techcrunch found that Facebook is the fourth most visited website in June, 2009
  • Facebook hits 300mm users as of Sept 15th, they were 250mm in July, showing significant growth. The challenge? We don’t know how many accounts are active, registered doesn’t mean they are returning. Secondly, there are still large social networks like email to contend with: Yahoo, Gmail, AOL, and MSLive. Sept 15, 2009.
  • Facebook fan page stats based on analysis of over 600,000 pages by Sysmos, Nov 2009.
  • Demographic data released says “about 11 percent of the social network’s approximately 100 million U.S. members were African-American, about 9 percent were Latino and 6 percent were Asian, according to a blog Facebook posted Wednesday evening — a much higher share for blacks and Latinos than four years ago.” read this insight, or Facebook’s data, Dec 17th
  • Friendster

  • “90 percent of its traffic coming from four countries – the Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia and Singapore.” also “15 million members worldwide” and “comScore reports Friendster traffic in Southeast Asia dropped from 32.6 million unique monthly visitors in August 2008 to 13.7 million this August, while Facebook zoomed from 24.8 million to 71.1 million. Friendster had slipped even below MySpace, with 15.1 million, while Twitter surged from 600,000 to 10.3 million.” SFGate. Oct 2, 2009
  • Hi5

  • 60 million reported users, and Hi5 has introduced a gaming component. VentureBeat, Feb 5, 2009
  • LinkedIn

  • “the site’s traffic is up in the recession. It hit 36 million members last Monday and is adding them at a rate of about one member per second. According to ComScore, it’s gone from about 3.6 million unique monthly visitors a year ago to 7.7 million today, Adage, March 2.
  • Big growth, LinkedIn has grown to 50 million users as “As of early this morning, LinkedIn has 50 million users worldwide and we’re growing that figure at roughly one new member per second.  When LinkedIn launched in 2003, it took 477 days — almost a year and four months — to reach our first million members. This last million took only 12 days”  They report in Oct 14th,
  • Microsoft: Live, Hotmail, Messenger

  • Number of active WL IDs: More than 500 million active Windows Live Ids. Number of Hotmail Users: More than 375 million active accounts worldwide. Number of Messenger Users: More than 320 million active accounts worldwide. As told to me by Microsoft in April
  • MySpace

  • 76 million members in MySpace US, with a U.S. growth rate of 0.8% per month Comscore via Techncrunch, Jan 13, 2009
  • “The average MySpace user now spends 266 minutes (4.4 hours) on the site every month; a 5% increase over last month and a +31% increase year over year. MySpace says its users spend nearly 100 minutes more per visitor than the closest competitor.” Social media bible (who cites a press release), Feb, 2009
  • Compare the dominant Facebook vs MySpace traffic, stickablilty, and engagement, (repeated from the Facebook category above) Compete, Feb 27, 2009
  • Facebook dominates US visitors over MySpace: “Facebook pulled in 70.278 million unique visitors in the states, compared to MySpace’s 70.237 million, according to data released by ComScore. That made Facebook the most popular site in the U.S., in terms of visitors. Just a month earlier, Facebook had a little over 67 million U.S. visitors behind MySpace’s 70.9 million.” PC Mag,, June 16
  • Twitter
    Having spent time with Ev and Biz, they don’t provide a lot of data and certainly not a total user count, as a result, we often have to estimate based on the following sources.

  • According to Compete, the growth rate for Twitter was 752%, for a total of 4.43 million unique visitors in December 2008, in the start of 2008, Twitter had only around 500,000 unique monthly visitors. Source: Mashable/Compete, Jan 9, 2009
  • Demographics of Twitter: Lots of stats here: 11% of online adults use Twitter or update their status online
  • Twitter users are mobile, less tethered by technology, Pew Research, Feb 12
  • Quantcast data on Twitter indicates that Twitter.com is a top 500 site that reaches over 4.1 million U.S. monthly people. The site attracts a more educated, slightly more female than male, young adult audience. Quantcast, March
  • Compete shows that Twitter is receiving 8million unique visitors in the month of March 2009. Compete (via Nick) March 10
  • Comscore data shows that “In February, 4 million people in the U.S. visited the site, up from 2.6 million the month before, according to the latest data from comScore. That represents a 55 percent month-over-month growth rate, compared to 33 percent growth in each of the two months prior.” Comscore, March
  • Unique visitors to Twitter increased 1,382 percent year-over-year, from 475,000 unique visitors in February 2008 to 7 million in February 2009, making it the fastest growing site in the Member Communities category for the month, Nielsen, March
  • “Worldwide visitors to Twitter approached 10 million in February, up an impressive 700+% vs. year ago. The past two months alone have seen worldwide visitors climb more than 5 million visitors. U.S. traffic growth has been just as dramatic, with Twitter reaching 4 million visitors in February, up more than 1,000% from a year ago.” Comscore, April
  • “-the average user has 126 followers; -only 20% of its traffic comes through the Twitter website; the other 80% (logically) comes from third-party programs on smartphones or computers. So if you’re looking at Twitter stats on your website, you’re probably underestimating that source of traffic by a factor of five; -an early peak test of the service came during President Obama’s inauguration in January, when more than 300 tweets per second were being added to the message queue.”Guardian UK (Quoting Twitter’s Engineer Weaver), June.
  • “5% of users accounted for 75% of all activity. This finding was based on indexing 11.5 million accounts, and then looking at the top 5% users who accounted for most number of Tweets….We found that 32% of all tweets made by the most active Twitter users were generated by machine bots that posted more than 150 tweets/day. The actual percentage of machine-generated tweets among the most active users is probably higher than 32% because there many bots that update less than 150 times/day, August, 2009, Sysomos
  • Highlights include: “This shows us the exponential growth experienced by Twitter in 2009. In Q3, this plateaus at a rate of about 8 million new users per month” and “As of September 1st, the actual number of live Twitter accounts was just above 50 million.” and “the average Twitter user has 42 followers. It’s interesting to see the distribution of users by the number of people following them” and “over 75% of all Twitter users have tweeted fewer than ten times” read more data from the source captured on, Oct 5, RJReynolds
  • Social Networking stats indicate that microblogging adoption has increased, those that are ‘younger’ are embracing (there’s limited age breakdown to justify what young means) and those with mobile devices are more likely to tweet. From RWW and Pew, Oct 20th
  • Xing

  • Xing has 6.5 million users, many of which have paid accounts.
  • Yelp

  • Yelp had 25 million daily uniques in August 2009 and have over 7 million reviews on the site to date –told to me by Yelp in October 6, 2009.
  • 2008 Stats

  • Need more? I have stats compiled in 2008 for AdultFriendFinder, Bebo, Digg, MySpace, Hi5, and many others.

  • A note about sources:
    I’m simply collecting them in one spot unless I indicate so, these are not stats from my research. As a result, you’ll often see a discrepancy in numbers depending on source. I need your help, as you find references to usage, visitors, or registered members numbers in articles or reports, please leave a comment with the URL.

    Video: History of the Internet

    Categories: VideoPosted on January 9th, 2009


    History of the Internet from PICOL on Vimeo.

    It’s easy to take for granted this powerful utility, that is quickly spreading around the globe, with rapid adoption rate that we’ve never seen with communication devices. The internet started with military roots, and this video shows the roots of the internet birthing back to Darpa. Remembering the roots of these systems are great, but we should also look forward to what’s next, perspective helps us to develop longer term plans. It’s interesting that the graphics were made using these public icons at Picol.

    Survey: How did you get your job?

    Categories: Career, Job SurveyPosted on January 8th, 2009

    Layoffs are among us, even tech giant Google is apparently dicing off a significant portion of their workforce, more layoffs will come over the next year. For those that got laid off (or those that are worried about it, which is most) understanding the skills needed to land that next gig are crucial.

    One of my goals in this new year is to help support the community around me. As a result, I’m launching a survey to find out how people recently got their job, in an effort to understand the skills, ways to find jobs, and other tips from those that have landed jobs.

    Please take this survey then share it with others, I will make all of the data public (except names and emails) and will discuss the findings on a site I’ve dedicated to help folks get employed. Thanks to RWW for spreading the word on this survey. Bryan Person helps to read the word too.

    Do note, I’m doing this outside of my day job, this is simply my way of giving back to the community. Please spread the word on this in order to help others.

    Tweet this:
    Take the survey: How did you get your job? http://snipurl.com/9n5ph

    What’s Your Career Mission?

    Categories: Career, RuminationsPosted on January 8th, 2009

    Even if you work for a large company, you are still a company of one. You are you own CEO, CMO, CFO and CIO, on ocassion, you’ll be your own intern but that’s a different story. Every great company has a goal, a mission, or a vision, to be successful, you should have one too.

    During this rough economic time you should be doing some soul searching, the market has changed and you need to evaluate how you’ll position yourself –even if you’re still employed. Scrutiny abound, you should start to think about what your long term goal is, beyond filling in your weekly status report.

    Do you have a career mission? What exactly is it that you want to do when you’re at the peak of your career?

    I’ll start. My career mission is to help companies successfully use the web to reach customers, and this blog embodies that. While I’m focused on social technologies now, the web will evolve to something else and I’ll be there, hopefully leading. In retrospect, I should think broader to ‘digital’, but at least the next decade will have a strong focus on the internet.

    We all get invited to events, websites, and activities of limitless ends, there are more events every single night in silicon valley then there is time to attend, as a result, we need to start getting focused on what our true goal is to achieve our needs..

    Now your turn. Over the coming weeks, really think about what your long term mission is, everything you do to better yourself (training, reading, blogging, events) should align with your overall mission. We’re rallying our clients to be focused during this rough time, and I’m encouraging you –the company of one– to do the same.

    Was this helpful? copy, paste then tweet it:
    You are a Company of One: What’s Your Career Mission? http://snipurl.com/9mvi4

    digest3

    I’m respecting your limited time by publishing this weekly digest on the Social Networking space, which I cover as an industry analyst. By creating this digest (I started this over a year ago) it really helps me to stay on top of the space I cover.

    I’ve created a new category called Digest (view archives). Start with the Web Strategy Summary, then quickly scan the succinct and categorized headlines, read text for my take, and click link to dive in for more.

    Subscribe to this blog in your feedreader, or use the email subscription box in the right column. Or you can subscribe to this digest tag only and not receive my other posts.

    Web Strategy Summary
    Due to slower news during holidays, this digest includes the last two weeks of news. Social Networking usage increases during the Holidays, and also due to a recession, this is a key opportunity for the industry to demonstrate new value by allowing people to connect, get retrained, and find jobs during this tough economy. More issues around culture, data, and privacy occur in Facebook, and the landscape is peppered with layoffs and partnerships. This is tumoltuous time.


    Web Usage: Spike in Facebook usage during Christmas
    More time with family? Desire to connected to friends during the quiet weeks? There was a significant increase in Facebook traffic this holiday season, the ironic thing is that retailers haven’t moved in to offer gift giving options for friends. For a UK perspective see what roared and bored during the Holiday season.

    Web Usage: Job seekers seek social networks
    No surprise here, when people want to get retrained, connect with others, or notify others of job needs, social networks (where their contacts are) is a strong place to start. On the other hand, some may work for free, if it’s just for ‘praise’, the new currency.

    Facebook sues Power.com
    Power.com a social networking aggregator, which means you can view all your social networking activity from one place has been sued by Facebook for copyright and trademark infringement; unlawful competition; and violation of the Digital Millennium Copyright Act, CAN-SPAM Act, and the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act, among other charges. Facebook is known for keeping it’s member data close to it’s chest, while others tend to be more open.

    Downsizing: Mzinga has layoffs
    Heard through the twitter stream, a little birdy notified me that a few of Mzinga’s employee base has been let go. I sent each of them personal messages, and let them know of the job resources I have for social media folks, wishing them the best. Even though Mzinga doesn’t have an official press release announcing the downsizing –word rapidly spreads.

    Cause: Facebook battles Lactivists, Growth in Argentina
    Mothers who want to show pictures of them breastfeeding in Facebook were denied –the battle ensues. The line between ‘indecency’ and nature isn’t clearly drawn/. Mobile adoption and recently translated site versions has spurred growth in Argentina for Facebook.

    Learning: Social Networks valuable to youth education
    This article suggests that “exploring new interests and tinkering with new forms of media, young people are picking up basic social and technical skills, such as how to create a video or game or customize a MySpace page”

    Partnership: Sean O’Driscoll Teams up with Jake McKee
    Two community mavens, who I’ve intervewed both for Forrester reports on community, have joined forces, and Sean joins Ant’s Eye View to help brands with social networking and community strategy and deployment. I’ll be speaking to them soon to learn about their offerings. Also, read Jake’s announcement.

    Biography: Ning’s Executive Gina gives interview
    Ning’s Gina Bianchini gives a rare look into her life –and watching silicon valley.

    Culture: Kids freak out when friended by Parents
    My friend Jennifer Jones and I have had quite a few interesting discussions on how kids react when parents ‘invade’ their personal and social lives in Facebook.

    Research: Forrester’s Wave on Community Platforms to publish Friday
    Stay tuned, I’ll be releasing the high level findings at end of week.


    If you’re a social network, or widget company, I want to know of your news, send me an email, or leave a comment below. Help me stay up to date.

    Hungry For Social Networking Stats? Then you should see my collection of Social Networks Site Usage: Visitors, Members, Page Views, and Engagement by the Numbers in 2008? Bookmark it, then share it with others as I continue to update it.

    I used to promote my blog posts on Twitter, then when I left Twitter, noticed a significant loss in traffic. Yesterday, I did a blog post encouraging others to tweet then retweet my blog post, as you know, being on a Twitter hiatus gives a unique opportunity to try out some experiments.

    By the numbers:
    Here’s the stats from the experiment: In the last 24 hours, 199 folks tweeted these words “How Bloggers Should Inspire Retweets” within 24 hours.

    Although not all of them used the snipurl I created, there were 2,000 clicks and unique clicks 1,280. This means that the average tweet that linked to the post generated 10 clicks, and about 6.4 unique clicks per person.

    There were 145 new followers to my twitter account, the daily average is new daily followers 88. This is a lift in follower increase of 60% beyond the daily average.

    Google Web Analytics showed that to be the top viewed page in last 24 hours, with 954 views, the graph below indicates that traffic returned to patterns before I took my Twitter hiatus.

    30 Days Traffic on Web Strategy Blog
    Above Graph: Last 30 days visitors according to Google Analytics to my blog, notice the dip when I started the hiatus on Jan 20th, also coupled by the holidays. On Dec 5th the twitter experiment started and brought visitors back up to normal levels.

    30 Days Traffic on Web Strategy Blog
    Above Graph: Twitter was the top referrer of traffic over the last 24 hours.

    This means that:

  • My experiment on ‘energizing’ (word of mouth) was successful from blog to twitter, learn about my goals.
  • You don’t need to be on Twitter.com as an active user to gain traffic to your site.
  • Since my twitter account wasn’t involved, the number of Twitter followers doesn’t matter as much as we once thought.
  • If you have compelling content, and make it easy for people to share, they will, and then it will rapidly spread through the twitter WOM network.
  • While I do have a good sized blog readership, a marketer with advertising budget could easily generate eyeballs to a blog with less subscribers, and potentially get similar results.
  • If you read the comments, there were several vendors that are going to offer a tweet icon at the bottom of your blog post, or wordpress plugin, so expect to see more of these.
  • This experiment isn’t completely scientifically done, if this were for an official Forrester report, that I’d have several control groups, sample with a variety of different websites, blogs, and twitter accounts to find a pattern. The one conclusion is that I don’t need to tweet to get twitter traffic.

    Helpful? Copy, Paste, then Tweet it!

    Findings: Why You Don’t Need to Tweet to Get Traffic from Twitter http://snipurl.com/9k5xy

    I’m on a Twitter hiatus and am not tweeting for a while, instead, I’m focusing on what Forrester calls energizing, what others may refer to as “word of mouth’. So instead, I’m going to conduct experiments to help my clients understand how to best use social tools to allow content to spread for person to person.

    While social media ‘chicklets’ already exist that make it easy to make blog posts diggable, tagged on delicious, or emailed to others, we’ve often forgotten to recognize one of the most powerful behaviors: the retweet.

    As a result, every single one of my future blog posts will have easy-to-use, copy and paste content that is designed to be rapidly tweeted to your followers –or until a technology emerges that makes it easier.

    I’m not going to tweet this post, but want you to spread it to your twitter followers by copying and pasting this code into twitter and share with others

    If You Read This, Tweet This to your Followers:

    How Bloggers Should Inspire Retweets http://snipurl.com/9ii28

    What are you waiting for? copy the above sentence, put it into the twitter form bar and share it! Let’s spread the word how bloggers can easily benefit from viral sharing by making it easy for blog posts to be retweeted. Sometimes it’s the simple things in life that take off, so I’ll write a wrap up post measuring the impacts of this experiment. (Update: The findings are now live, see the data after 24 hours)

    So How Bloggers Should Inspire Retweets? Make it easy for their readers to tweet it, by creating simple copy and a shortened URL and include it at the bottom of each blog post. Thanks for tweeting, and retweeting this.

    (Update: you can track the tweets here, here, here and here)

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